Thursday, June 15

Al-Qaeda is the Biggest Threat to Iran

Iran should figure out how to make peace with the US (and the Europeans) because if they stay on their current path it appears that al-Qaeda's strategy (for victory) is to drag Iran into a fight with the US.

One of the many documents seized by the US and Iraq from Abu Musab al-Zarkawi's al-Qaeda in Iraq was a document that stratagizes ways to improve their chances against the US. Their 'best' option appears to make Iran a sacrificial lamb for the cause:

We have noticed that the best of these wars to be ignited is the one between the Americans and Iran

How does al-Qaeda think this will benefit them:

Consequently, to embroil America in another war against another enemy is the answer that we find to be the most appropriate, and to have a war through a delegate has the following benefits:

1. To occupy the Americans by another front will allow the resistance freedom of movement and alleviate the pressure imposed on it.

2. To dissolve the cohesion between the Americans and the Shi'a will weaken and close this front.

3. To have a loss of trust between the Americans and the Shi'a will cause the Americans to lose many of their spies.

4. To involve both parties, the Americans and the Shi'a, in a war that will result in both parties being losers.

5. Thus, the Americans will be forced to ask the Sunni for help.

6. To take advantage of some of the Shia elements that will allow the resistance to move among them.

7. To weaken the media's side which is presenting a tarnished image of the resistance, mainly conveyed by the Shi'a.

8. To enlarge the geographical area of the resistance movement.

9. To provide popular support and cooperation by the people.

It is amusing that they would be willing to sacrifice fellow Muslims (Iranians) in order to further their cause. It is one thing for their followers to be killed fighting the Americans. After all, they are on jihad against American Troops. Dragging fellow Muslims into the fight seems like a horrible tactic for their cause. This should be a clear message for all those (Muslims) who sympathize with these fighters. Al-Qaeda is planning to drag you into this fight, willing or not.

Even more amazing is that they would consider destroying what I would consider one of the few countries that not only sympathizes with their cause but also has more strict interpretation of Islam than most other countries in the Middle East. Al-Qaeda, while considering a war between the US and Iran their best chance, they do not have high hopes for Iran's chance of success in this venture:

The possibility of acquiring new weapons from the Iranian side, either after the fall of Iran or during the battles.

Is it possible that even al-Qaeda has problems with the Iranian Government? Of course it is the Iranians that have been accused of supplying terrorists in Iraq with weapons and explosives. Some of these shipments have been intercepted. Is it possible that al-Qaeda in Iraq intended for some of the shipments to be seized by the US to push the two countries closer to conflict?

This document might now make Iran reconsider what support, if any, they really want to provide al-Qaeda since every shipment can be used not only against the Americans, but also against Iran itself. Here are some ideas they have about dragging Iran into war against the US:
By executing exploding operations in the west and accusing Iran by planting Iranian Shi'a fingerprints and evidence.

By declaring the existence of a relationship between Iran and terrorist groups (as termed by the Americans).

By disseminating bogus messages about confessions showing that Iran is in possession of weapons of mass destruction or that there are attempts by the Iranian intelligence to undertake terrorist operations in America and the west and against western interests.
With friends like this, who needs the US as an enemy? Sure, the creator of the document is probably now dead, but al-Qaeda lives on and their main activity appears to be Iraq. I would bet that this 'battle-plan' lives on.

Text of al-Zarqawi Safe-House Document -

No comments: